Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Spain is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will France win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If France is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
If Nick Fuentes becomes President of the United States before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
If a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026?
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will the US meet its climate goals?
If the US has 4909.9 million metric tonnes of CO2 emissions or fewer in a year by 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Argentina win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Argentina is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Mexico win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Mexico is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
If Zohran Mamdani becomes President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will USA win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If USA is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Naftali Bennett, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Germany win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Germany is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027?
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027?
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?
If Johnny Depp is cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election?
If Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") wins a seat in the House of Commons in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Who will the next Pope be?
If Pietro Parolin becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Italy win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Italy is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Qatar win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?
If Qatar is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.